Forecast Discussion

11/27/2019
Discussion valid from 26/11/2019 to 27/11/2019

Departamento Meteorologico Aruba http://www.meteo.aw


...TROPICAL WAVES EAST OF 70 W...
An Atlantic tropical wave axis is near 60W south of 16N, moving
west around 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted from 09N to 12N between 53W and 62W.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Isolated shower activity persists over the central Caribbean well
offshore of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic. Elsewhere, dry
air prevails across the western Caribbean as noted in GOES-16
water vapor products. Strong easterly winds are likely ongoing
near the coast of Colombia and over the Gulf of Venezuela this
morning, while generally moderate trades continue across the rest
of the Caribbean.

Moderate to fresh trades will prevail across most of the basin,
except fresh to strong in the S central and W central portion.
Winds will peak at minimal gale force near the coast of Colombia
by early Wed, and again late Wed night into early Thu. The trades
will diminish by the end of the week into the weekend as high
pressure N of the area weakens. Fresh to strong NE flow will pulse
downwind of the Windward Passage, in the Lee of Cuba and the Lee
of the Dominican Republic through the next several days. A surge
of fresh to strong trades and large fresh seas will move across
the tropical N Atlantic S of 15N through early Wed.

Next update will be issued 27/11/2019