Forecast Discussion



06/26/2017
Forecast valid from 26/06/2017 to 27/06/2017

Departamento Meteorologico Aruba http://www.meteo.aw

The main features in the basin are two tropical waves. Aside from
the convective activity associated with it, latest scatterometer
data continue to show fresh to strong winds in the vicinity of
the waves S of 17N, increasing to near gale winds S of 14N.
Otherwise, scattered heavy showers and tstms are in the lee
of Cuba between 78W and 83W. Isolated showers are elsewhere
between the Windward Passage and the Leeward Islands.
The westernmost wave will move over EPAC waters within
18 hours while the easternmost wave races towards the
central basin. A new tropical wave will enter the SE
Caribbean mwaters tonight.

A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean with axis extending from
18N66W to inland Venezuela near 08N67W, moving W at 20 kt within
the last 24 hours. The wave is in a region of unfavorable wind
shear and is in a moderate moist environment with some patches
of dry air according to CIRA LPW. Isolated showers are between
63W and 71W.

Next update will be issued 27/06/2017 16:00UTC