Forecast Discussion



10/20/2020
Departamento Meteorologico Aruba http://www.meteo.aw

Discussion valid from 20/10/2020 to 21/10/2020

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Epsilon is centered near 25.6N 54.7W at 20/0900
UTC or 660 nm SE of Bermuda moving ENE at 3 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 998 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt.

........TROPICAL WAVES EAST OF 70 WEST........

A tropical wave extends across the east Atlantic with axis along
18N from 03N-17N, moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted from 04N-10N between 17W-27W.

An Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 44W from 00N-14N,
moving W at 10 kt. No significant convection is related to this
wave at this time.

An Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 54W from 02N-17N,
moving W at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is related to
this wave at this time.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Moderate to fresh winds are expected during this forecast period.
Abundant moisture induced by a disturbance can induce isolated
showers with also risk of thunder during the next 24 hours.
The broad area of low pressure in the west-central Caribbean
is forecast to move slowly westward toward the Yucatan Peninsula
over the next day or two. Some gradual development of this system
is possible in the middle of the week as it moves slowly in the
western Caribbean Sea.

Next update will be issued 21/10/2020