Climate Outlook Aruba

La Niña is expected to continue into the Northern spring 2012.

During December 2011, below-average sea surface temperatures (SST) associated with La Niña continued across the eastern and central equatorial Pacific Ocean. The weekly SST index in the Niño-3.4 region remained near -1.0oC throughout the month, indicating a weak to moderate La Niña. A majority of models predict a weak or moderate strength La Niña to peak during the December – February season, and then to continue into early Northern Hemisphere spring season before dissipating during the March to May period. Most climate models indicate that rainfall amounts for Aruba should remain normal to above normal for the period January-March 2012.